Stage-5 grounding audit: lens 5 + the three deliverables
VERDICT: Stage 5 would NOT run error-free today, and would fail early. The
substrate underneath is excellent -- all three OpenTofu roots ZERO DIFF, 18
nodes Ready exact to D-121 Option C, MACs and power addresses matching
lib-hosts, D-134 statics perfect, 17 fabrics, zero orphaned interfaces, both
artifact paths serving, gauntlet ALL GREEN (81). What is not ready is the
layer between the substrate and the deploy.

LENS 5 (relaunched after an API error) returned the ordered precondition list
and the largest runbook defect found: Step 4 says "follow phase-01 verbatim",
and phase-01 ACTIVELY REFUSES dc1 -- its VIP guard greps bundle.yaml for
eleven 10.12.4.x VIPs, dc1's live in an overlay on 10.12.64/68/72, so it
takes the "ABORT: VIP guard failed" branch. After the ruled VIP extraction it
aborts for dc0 too. It also carries hardcoded VR0 system_ids, a jumphost-local
libvirt loop over disks that do not exist, and a 4-machine plan gate against a
9-machine bundle.

Three Stage-5 gate commands cannot execute at all, measured against the juju
actually installed (3.6.27): juju run used for a shell command when it is the
action runner; download-backup given a backup-id when it takes a controller
path; and the geneve gate grepping ovn-central for a config key the same
runbook says does not exist. Four of the five VERIFY-LIVE gates the record
says Stage 5 owes have NO step in the runbook -- including the keystone
policyd-override check, which is RULED.

Two convergent confirmations raise confidence in the whole set: the Ceph OSD
blocker was found independently by two lenses using different methods, and the
stale-clone blocker independently by this session and lens 5.

DELIVERABLES:
- docs/audit/stage5-readiness-20260727.md -- ordered precondition checklist,
  READ FIRST. 5 phases, each row with status/evidence/what-breaks.
- docs/audit/stage5-committee-raw-20260727.md -- all 7 lenses verbatim.
- docs/audit/queued-rulings-20260727.md -- 11 Stage-5-blocking + 4 standing
  questions, GA-R5 shape, one exchange each, blank utterance lines. NONE
  adopted; a batch answer rules NOTHING.

MECHANICAL FIX TAKEN (exactly one, deliberately): the G3 gate row read OPEN
with a standing FREEZE while its own cited evidence file records G3 CLOSED and
the freeze lifted. Left standing, that clause would have blocked the very
DOCFIX batch this audit queues. No ruling was required -- two surfaces already
declared it closed.

The 21-item DOCFIX remediation batch is LOGGED NOT EXECUTED. Nearly every
runbook fix interlocks with an unanswered ruling, so landing them now would
encode assumptions about questions the operator has not answered.

Next-free numbers unchanged (D 138 / DOCFIX 205 / BUNDLEFIX 053) -- no number
was assigned, correctly, since nothing was remediated.

Revert: git revert this commit; the deliverables are new files and the
CURRENT-STATE edits are additive plus the one G3 correction.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01HvCyrwvYTTcDYnRErfMsNf
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